Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Like around the country, we're seeing. But Pennsylvania is now red. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Is Missouri a red state? Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Success! The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Same for GA senate races Charlie. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? because red and blue state designations . (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. 4, another 2020 red state. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. All Rights Reserved. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. These are general election results for the years listed. You have entered an incorrect email address! And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. Continue with Recommended Cookies. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. 2020 Electoral Map Results. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. elections. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Which ones are more politically competitive? The. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). The key swing region is the. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. It feels like the new Florida. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Sorry Marc. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. More than a . Experts weigh in on swing-state status. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. [41][note 1][42]. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Out of. These are general election results for the years listed. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. What determines a state's "color"? Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Tap or hover to see names. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. Special elections, if any, are excluded. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. Press Enter to view state-level map. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other.

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